As tensions reach a boiling point across the Middle East, supporters of the Iranian regime are openly calling for a renewed direct attack on the State of Israel. The growing clamor follows the collapse of ceasefire talks, renewed fighting in Gaza, and continued Israeli airstrikes targeting Iran’s terror proxies in Yemen and Syria.
At the heart of this pressure campaign is a call to activate “Operation True Promise 3” (وعده صادق 3), the official Iranian name for what would be a third direct missile strike on Israel. This follows Operation True Promise 1 and 2, the names used by Iran to describe its unprecedented ballistic missile attacks on Israel in April 2024 and October 2024—the first open state-to-state attacks by Iran against the Jewish state in history.
Now, voices inside Iran—especially among regime hardliners and IRGC-linked social media influencers—are demanding a continuation of that campaign. The leading hashtag trending in Iran yesterday was #وعده_صادق_3 (#True_Promise_3), reflecting growing grassroots pressure for another aggressive strike against Israeli cities.
This public demand for escalation comes at a critical moment of strategic decision-making in Tehran. The regime stands at a crossroads: either resume indirect nuclear negotiations with the United States in Oman or commit to full-scale regional escalation. Regime supporters are clearly advocating for the latter—war over diplomacy.
Inside Iran, the tone is one of defiance and vengeance. IRGC-affiliated Telegram channels, hardline media outlets, and regime influencers are all amplifying calls for missiles to once again fly toward Tel Aviv, Haifa, and Jerusalem. Many portray it not just as retaliation for Israeli airstrikes in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen, but as a sacred duty to avenge the “martyrs of Gaza.”
Officially, the regime’s tone remains carefully ambiguous. While Supreme Leader Khamenei has stopped short of ordering an attack, his recent speeches have emphasized “resistance,” “retaliation,” and warned that “the Zionist regime will not remain safe.” Military commanders have publicly floated the possibility of renewed strikes if Israel continues its northern campaign against Hezbollah or escalates in Gaza.
Analysts believe Iran is leveraging public sentiment and the trending #True_Promise_3 hashtag to prepare domestic opinion for further escalation. At the same time, indirect talks in Oman between the U.S. and Iran over nuclear restrictions and sanctions are being quietly pursued—talks that could collapse if Operation True Promise 3 is launched.
But a third attack on Israel would carry severe consequences. Israel has already demonstrated its ability to strike deep inside Iran and destroy key military infrastructure in Operation Days of Repentance. A renewed Iranian assault would likely be met with devastating retaliation, and could force direct U.S. involvement.
Still, the fact that Iranian regime supporters are now openly demanding a third missile operation shows just how dangerous and volatile the situation has become. If Tehran chooses confrontation over negotiation, the Middle East could slide into a wider regional war at a pace the world is unprepared for.
